Manhattan
W-L: ( 4-10) PR = 85.3425Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 201 N Bucknell Patriot ( 8- 7, 91.9) 8-14 206 H Monmouth CAA ( 6- 7, 89.6) 9-15 214 H Wagner NEC ( 5- 8, 84.3) 10- 5 221 H Fairfield CAA ( 4-10, 90.3) 9-15 228 A Stony Brook CAA (10- 5, 92.0) 6-15 307 A Le Moyne NEC ( 4-11, 85.2) 12-11 314 A Iona MAAC ( 2-15, 84.3) 12-16 321 A Siena MAAC (12- 5, 90.4) 9-15 325 H Sacred Heart MAAC (11- 4, 90.9) 5-13 328 A Mount St Marys MAAC ( 3-10, 85.5) 9-10 403 H Merrimack MAAC ( 7- 9, 88.5) 9-11 411 H Marist MAAC (11- 4, 90.8) 9-13 418 H Canisius MAAC ( 3-11, 85.3) 9- 6 422 A Quinnipiac MAAC ( 5-10, 87.2) 10- 9
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
201 N Bucknell 8-14 -6 -7 0.57
206 H Monmouth 9-15 -6 -3 - -3.10
214 H Wagner 10- 5 5 2 + 2.54
221 H Fairfield 9-15 -6 -4 - -2.38
228 A Stony Brook 6-15 -9 -8 0.00
307 A Le Moyne 12-11 1 -1 + 2.20
314 A Iona 12-16 -4 0 - -3.71
321 A Siena 9-15 -6 -6 0.43
325 H Sacred Heart 5-13 -8 -4 - -2.84
328 A Mount St Marys 9-10 -1 -2 0.57
403 H Merrimack 9-11 -2 -2 -0.25
411 H Marist 9-13 -4 -4 0.10
418 H Canisius 9- 6 3 1 1.62
422 A Quinnipiac 10- 9 1 -3 ++ 4.24
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 206 H Monmouth 9-15 -6 -3 - -3.10 221 H Fairfield 9-15 -6 -4 - -2.38 314 A Iona 12-16 -4 0 - -3.71 325 H Sacred Heart 5-13 -8 -4 - -2.84 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 422 A Quinnipiac 10- 9 1 -3 ++ 4.24 214 H Wagner 10- 5 5 2 + 2.54 307 A Le Moyne 12-11 1 -1 + 2.20 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 14.31
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 N Bucknell ( 8- 7, 91.9) 8-14 -7.99 12.61 -0.00 1.02 -4.08
3 H Monmouth ( 6- 7, 89.6) 9-15 -10.29 10.31 -1.38 1.02 -5.96
3 H Wagner ( 5- 8, 84.3) 10- 5 -15.64 4.95 -1.38 1.02 7.32
3 H Fairfield ( 4-10, 90.3) 9-15 -9.56 11.04 -1.38 1.02 -5.59
3 A Stony Brook (10- 5, 92.0) 6-15 -7.89 12.70 1.38 1.02 -3.33
3 A Le Moyne ( 4-11, 85.2) 12-11 -14.73 5.87 1.38 1.02 14.81
3 A Iona ( 2-15, 84.3) 12-16 -15.64 4.95 1.38 1.02 -7.29
3 A Siena (12- 5, 90.4) 9-15 -9.50 11.10 1.38 1.02 -4.15
3 H Sacred Heart (11- 4, 90.9) 5-13 -9.02 11.58 -1.38 1.02 -5.31
3 A Mount St Marys ( 3-10, 85.5) 9-10 -14.36 6.24 1.38 1.02 -6.64
3 H Merrimack ( 7- 9, 88.5) 9-11 -11.43 9.17 -1.38 1.02 -6.55
3 H Marist (11- 4, 90.8) 9-13 -9.08 11.52 -1.38 1.02 -5.35
3 H Canisius ( 3-11, 85.3) 9- 6 -14.56 6.04 -1.38 1.02 9.53
3 A Quinnipiac ( 5-10, 87.2) 10- 9 -12.69 7.91 1.38 1.02 18.98
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-3.62
|
winning pts = 50.6345 losing points = -54.2518
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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